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ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE · RESEARCH PREVIEW

The currency picture

Start with the currencies. Open a country to see its economic readings. Source dates and revisions remain available for deeper research.

View economic evidence and assessment readiness →

Currency assessments are not available yet

The figures below describe economic releases, not buy/sell signals. Country-to-country comparisons require equivalent, timestamped data for both sides. Missing evidence is shown explicitly.

1. Choose a currency

Five currencies tracked · non-US figures appear only after validated publication.

2. Currency pairs

Relative economic outlooks will appear here once both currencies have comparable verified coverage.

EUR/USD
Assessment pending
GBP/USD
Assessment pending
GBP/JPY
Assessment pending
EUR/CAD
Assessment pending
USD/CAD
Assessment pending

3. United States · economic readings

Latest published FRED/ALFRED source observations. Each card explains what the indicator measures. The movement of a number alone does not predict USD direction.

Jobs

Unemployment
4.2%
Observation: 2026-09-01
What this means · source details

Share of the labour force unemployed. A rise can indicate a cooling jobs market.

Series: UNRATE
Raw source value: 4.2
Prior observation: 4.1 (2026-08-01)
Change in source units: 0.10000000000000053
Vintage date: 2026-10-02
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:07:46.876360+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: Not available
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable
Nonfarm employment
159,044 thousand
Observation: 2026-09-01
What this means · source details

Total US payroll employment, excluding farming and certain other categories.

Series: PAYEMS
Raw source value: 159044
Prior observation: 159015 (2026-08-01)
Change in source units: 29
Vintage date: 2026-10-02
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:09:33.432199+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: Not available
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable

Prices

Headline inflation
3.72%
Observation: 2026-09-01
What this means · source details

Annual change in the consumer price index. Inflation is not automatically positive for a currency.

Series: CPIAUCSL
Raw source value: 336.298
Prior observation: 334.131 (2026-08-01)
Change in source units: 2.16700000000003
Vintage date: 2026-10-14
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:08:23.127389+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: Not available
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable
Core inflation
2.57%
Observation: 2026-09-01
What this means · source details

Annual consumer price change excluding food and energy.

Series: CPILFESL
Raw source value: 338.896
Prior observation: 337.765 (2026-08-01)
Change in source units: 1.1310000000000286
Vintage date: 2026-10-14
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:10:04.013807+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: Not available
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable

Growth

Real GDP growth
2.22%
Observation: 2026-04-01
What this means · source details

Quarterly real output growth expressed at an annualised rate.

Series: GDPC1
Raw source value: 24408.011
Prior observation: 24274.383 (2026-01-01)
Change in source units: 133.62799999999697
Vintage date: 2026-09-30
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:10:37.119799+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: 138.3979999999974
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable
Retail sales growth
0.77%
Observation: 2026-09-01
What this means · source details

Change in retail sales compared with the previous observation.

Series: RSAFS
Raw source value: 745021.0
Prior observation: 739322 (2026-08-01)
Change in source units: 5699
Vintage date: 2026-10-15
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:11:17.295063+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: Not available
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable

Rates

Effective overnight rate
3.75%
Observation: 2026-09-01
What this means · source details

Observed effective federal funds rate, not the Federal Reserve's policy target.

Series: FEDFUNDS
Raw source value: 3.75
Prior observation: 3.63 (2026-08-01)
Change in source units: 0.1200000000000001
Vintage date: 2026-10-01
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:08:59.200353+00:00
Prior-vintage revision: Not available
Historical intraday release time: unverified
Consensus surprise: unavailable

4. Other currencies · publication status

Official-source downloads are not the same as validated, application-ready economic snapshots. Figures will appear here only after their transformations, source dates and provenance pass the publication gate.

EUR · Euro area

ECB inflation retrieved; not yet published

Euro-area HICP annual rate
3.8%
Observation: 2026-09
Source and evidence
Series: HICP/M.U2.N.000000.4D0.ANR
Source: ECB Data Portal SDMX
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:25:36.042468+00:00
SHA-256: ce710215adb800a083a044e94dfc144530756f4f2bea69830ed56f98a94237c7
Original release vintages: unverified
Assessment: not published
Published indicators: 1
GBP · United Kingdom

ONS inflation retrieved; not yet published

UK CPI annual rate
3.5%
Observation: 2026 SEP
Source and evidence
Series: D7G7
Source: Office for National Statistics
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:25:37.044896+00:00
SHA-256: f05709a7d468e40599e8f9fe385ce8c42667b8bd49264e65b4ec0c6c5e787604
Original release vintages: unverified
Assessment: not published
Published indicators: 1
CAD · Canada

BoC policy rate retrieved; not yet published

Canadian overnight policy target
2.25%
Observation: 2026-10-23
Source and evidence
Series: V39079
Source: Bank of Canada Valet
Retrieved: 2026-10-26T13:25:38.245795+00:00
SHA-256: 170d7e4b529b03fcb7e317d0457d585bad3d180fedfa3997c1ff22f7a210c375
Original release vintages: unverified
Assessment: not published
Published indicators: 1
JPY · Japan

Observation feed pending

Published indicators: 0
Professional research · methodology and data controls

Data are source observations, not historical surprise estimates. US vintage dates have date-only precision; they cannot establish intraday eligibility. Revisions are preserved where available, but cross-country vintage comparability is not yet established.

Planned factors: inflation, labour, growth and monetary policy. Definitions and reporting frequency vary by country. An assessment must carry an as-of time, factor definitions, missingness, source versions and independently tested calibration before publication.

Official institutions: FRED/ALFRED · ECB · ONS · Bank of Canada · Bank of Japan.

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